SAMEH
NAGUIB on WHAT HAS HAPPENED IN EGYPT
On the ground people have gained huge confidence
in their ability to change history.
This is a contradictory situation. It is
formally a military coup. The army has effectively arrested the president and
77 leaders of the Muslim Brotherhood.
They intervened to save themselves from a new
revolution.
But at the same time it is a mass popular
revolt. The people forced the army to act, and the army only did so because
they were worried about their own future.
This is the second time they have done
so. They are running out of choices. If Morsi was a failure then the
bourgeois alternatives, such as Mohamed El Baradei, are weak.
This is not the end of democracy, nor a
simple military coup.
Revolution is actually an extremely democratic
process. Simply voting every few years is a joke compared to this. The army is
trying to cut this process off.
Major strikes were planned for tomorrow,
Thursday. Bus and train workers, cement workers and Suez canal
workers were all due to walk out. The protests could have developed into a
general strike—the vast majority of the protesters are working class.
It’s not over.
Right now there is euphoria, and people are
cheering soldiers. But those celebrating in the streets are not stupid. They
know what the police and army have done in the past.
Expectations of change are sky high. They are
higher even than they were when we brought down Mubarak. But the
possibility of any new government being able to offer genuine reforms is very
limited.
People feel empowered and entitled by the events
of the last few days. They brought down the president after just one year
because he did not deliver, and they will do it again.
This is cool!
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